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November 4th, 2008 // comments (0)

I caught up with Florida Senator Bill Nelson at Obama’s Jacksonville rally. He told me he believes Obama will carry the state by 4 percentage points. “Florida has never seen a presidential organizational effort like this,” he said. “This overwhelms George Bush’s 2004 effort.”
It’s clear that Obama will win the election overall, the electoral map is just too daunting for him to overcome Obama’s lead, but I don’t think Florida will go blue this year. I predict a McCain win.